Archive Listing March 7, 2008 - February 29, 2008
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Two small data points prompted me to write this entry. First, on the
evening of Al Gore's Global Warming testimony before Congress, Brit
Hume told his show's panel, "Nobody disputes that global warming is
occurring and that there's some human contribution to it." He went on
to say that the controversy was over how serious the situation really
is and whether anything can be done about it that's worth the cost.
Second, courtesy of Glenn Reynolds,
I found an Ann Althouse "liveblog" entry recording her
reactions to her first viewing of Al Gore's Inconvenient Truth. Here are a few
brief excerpts:
Both Brit Hume's assertion and Ann Althouse's post are disturbing. If
Brit had done his homework, he would know that there are serious
scientists who dispute that global warming is occurring at all (a
distinct minority, these days, to be sure) and more importantly,
serious scientists who don't believe human beings are contributing to
any warming that is occurring. (For example, if carbon dioxide levels
rise in response to rising temperature levels rather than vice versa,
as Gore claims, human CO2 output is irrelevant.) I suppose Brit doesn't
much care about these disputes because he sees Global Warming primarily
as a political issue, in which the policy mandate claimed by the
environmentalists involves an indefensible strategy -- seriously
sabotaging the world economy with measures that admittedly can't have much of an
impact.
Ann Althouse is even more casual about the underlying science than
Brit. How long has this topic been kicking around in the public domain?
Twenty years? And with fairly high visibility for at least ten years.
Yet, she feels no compunction about conceding, rather airily, that she
has "no basis to test Gore's assertions."
Both Hume and Althouse are solid, meticulous professionals, regardless
of how you view their political positions. (Hume is clearly a
conservative, and Althouse admits in her post that she voted for Gore.)
On the one hand, it's understandable that intelligent professionals
have the humility to acknowledge they aren't expert in all things. On
the other hand, their obvious remoteness from the actual science that's
at issue directly contributes to the atmosphere of popular ignorance in
which important political decisions are being made. If highly educated
and politically involved figures like Hume and Althouse can't or won't
understand the specifics of the scientific questions, then why should
the average citizen even try?
Last week, I posted links to a movie
that seeks to refute Global Warming alarmists generally and Al Gore's
movie specifically. One of the reviews I encountered before posting the
link was (alas, I can't find it again) from a political conservative
who said it was interesting and persuasive, though perhaps overdone
with respect to the sun's role in temperature changes on earth?! His or
her personal take was that humans do most likely still play a role in
temperature, but that there's significant question about how much
difference we can make.
This kind of response represents one of the biggest dangers of the
Hume-Althouse laissez-faire approach. If we all come to accept that the
political aspect of the question is the only one that's accessible to
us, we will likely come to believe that the right answer about its
truth or untruth is also political -- that is, some kind of flabby
compromise between the most extreme positions. That's how you get a lay
reviewer who feels justified in combining two directly opposing
theories, picking and choosing the elements of both that seem
"reasonable" to an ignorant observer.
That's not how science works. Somewhere amidst all the theories and
mathematical models and thousands of conflicting statistical citations
and studies and methodologies, there is a correct answer. Just how near
to or far away from that answer we really are is something individual
non-scientists can learn. It's important to know at least that much
because there's an enormous inertia already built up toward reckless
actions that will injure developed economies and perhaps fatally wound
undeveloped economies. These kinds of policies will affect all of us,
even those who blissfully contend they have no responsibility because
they lack the relevant academic degrees.
Even those who believe the most devoutly in the catatrophic
consequences of Global Warming have a responsibility to move beyond the
position, "It's so critical and so far advanced that it's riskier to do
nothing than to try everything we can think of." Why? Because there's a
Catch-22 out there waiting for them if they are right. If human beings do exert a massive influence on
climate because of our behaviors, then the more we attempt to change
climate, the greater risk we incur from the law of unintended
consequences. What subtle but vitally important unknown variables might we affect
disastrously by acting in too much haste? Don't we have real-world
experience of environmental catastrophes created by the best of
intentions? There was a time when scientists thought it was a good idea
to import species from other continents to correct an ecological
imbalance of some kind. Killer bees, anybody?
I'm arguing that we all have a responsibility to go beyond head counts
of how many scientists from which institutions are on which side and
perform a political calculation about who's right. Further, I suggest
that it is possible to learn enough about the central scientific issues
to determine whether scientists have accomplished enough for us to
believe what the most vocal advocates are telling us.
For some people a good first step is viewing the Gore movie and the
movie I linked to last week. But there are also those who (rightly)
suspect that all forms of film production are subject to emotional
manipulation, visual tricks, and artful (or cynical) omissions. Some
people also respond better to the written word, and there are books on
both sides of the argument to be found at Amazon.com and other
booksellers.
Still others -- perhaps blog readers in particular? -- prefer to make
the acquaintance of a topic by kibbitzing on a debate conducted by
people other than politicians. For them I have a recommendation that
may be helpful. One of the books that tackles both the scientific and
political issues is The Politically Incorrect Guide to Global
Warming. I'm not steering you directly to the book, which is
obviously arguing against the alarmist viewpoint. I'm directing you to
the customer
reviews of the book, which are numerous (over a hundred), often
rational and concise, and most significantly, commented upon by other
reviewers and advocates for various viewpoints. The result: a lively
back and forth that may test your own talent for objective logic.
It's true that many of the book's critics are shrill, ad-hominem, and
obviously writing without having read the book. But if you keep
digging, you will eventually find calm and fact-filled reviews on both
sides, which may collectively give you enough of a feel for the issues
that you can go on to do your own research. You'll find thumbnail
descriptions of publications on both sides that you may want to read,
depending on your own interests, and you'll find references to specific
facts at issue which you can pursue further through scientific
journals. Best of all, you'll find that it is possible for a layman to
follow and understand discussions about science and even find them
interesting.
I'm not trying to trash Hume and Althouse and others who have been
keeping a respectful distance from the scientific battleground. But I
do want to offer a whispered tut-tut. You and they are better than that.

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After the Edwards press conference yesterday, I expected both sides of
the aisle to offer best wishes for Mrs. Edwards and some mixed reviews
for Edwards himself. I did NOT expect that his own part of the decision
would draw no criticism at all and attract more praise than
trepidation. I'd prefer to remain silent myself, because I wish both of
them well in this private matter between them. But somebody has to say
it. John Edwards's conduct in this matter is highly questionable
precisely because he has made an intensely private and personal matter
a public affair with extremely public potential consequences.
The reason there's "No Image Available" for this post is that nobody
can imagine just how ugly this situation could get. I'm going to be
allusive rather than vivid here, since I don't like to be discussing
this at all, so activate your mind's eye. Network television cameras
where nobody wants them, except they will
be there. An official party nominee in the final stages of an election
campaign who suddenly resigns (or doesn't), putting his party and
nation into a miserable quandary. A distracting siege in the White
House itself, with few willing to voice the extremity of a leadership
crisis at a critically inopportune time. Yes, these are all eventualities
that could happen to any first family, but the probabilities here are,
well, different.
Worse, and perhaps even uglier, a husband who simply cannot be there to
hold hands during all the routine checkups (scary), tests (scarier),
treatments (scary and painful), good news (joy), not so good news
(terrifying), and, well, enough of that. Yeah, I know, a strong woman
may be determined not to seem to need this kind of support, but there's
also a certain kind of husband who knows when to overrule even the
strongest woman and make it clear he's going to be a sticking plaster
to share the ordeals, protect her privacy from prying eyes, and be with
her because he doesn't want to be anywhere else.
Dean
Barnett wrote a beautiful, empathetic, and oh-so-subtly doubtful
essay about the decision the Edwards have made. He knows whereof he
speaks, but his point of view is inevitably tilted toward the
perspective of Elizabeth Edwards, whose courage and present mindset he
undoubtedly understands better than I do. My only disagreement with him
has to do with John Edwards's role in this decision, which -- given the
national affairs issues involved -- merits at least some thoughtful,
and skeptical, questioning rather than unbridled praise.
I'll say what no one else will. This gives me greater doubts than I had
before about John Edwards as a man and a candidate. I'm sorry if this
sounds inappropriate, but the truth is it is appropriate because it's not
just his business anymore. He made
it my business about 24 hours ago.
And now it's your business too. Remember that.

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We've had multiple previous reasons for calling out Neal Boortz for his boor(tz)ishness.
Yesterday, no doubt, he thought he was just being wickedly provocative
and generating a flood of amusing phone call-ins with this little gem:
This is the kind of remark he employs to generate a tide of illiterate
email condemnations, which enable him to ridicule the ignorance,
irrationality, and spelling idiosyncracies of his most illiterate
listeners. When he reprints negative emails, he never
includes any that employ logic or decent grammar. In other words, his
native mode is to act like a bully. Which is precisely the mentality he
is revealing here without being aware of it.
I know what his argument would be. Cats are never going to understand
that he's insulted them, and so the invective he receives from cat
fanciers is automatically irrelevant and laughable.
He's full of it. He hasn't the wit or consciousness to envision the
innumerable (other) Boors in pickup trucks and Lincoln Towncars who go
out of their way to run over cats on the roadways. There is some
vestige of crude adolescent macho, of which he himself is an example,
that thinks it manly to despise, deride, and mistreat cats. It's just a
joke. Even when the result is a beloved family pet lying on the road
with every bone in its body crushed. Ha ha. At present, there are viral
videos celebrating the torture and
death of cats orchestrated by teenage boys who are simply younger
versions of Boortz himself. What the Big Boor hasn't bothered to think
about is the example he sets for crackers younger than himself for good
or ill. If he thinks killing cats is funny... or if he thinks killing
cats is, maybe, not funny... A huge talk radio audience does bring with
it some responsibility beyond
hawking your own books and inciting furious commentary.
If you care about cats, email
this post to Boortz. He'll never print it
or respond to it. But let him know that some of us have his number. A
joke like this is harmful, whether he deigns to acknowledge it or not.
If he hears it enough, though, he may forgo such jokes in the future.
If he's more than a superannuated teenage thug. That's the best we can
hope for.
Unless it turns out that there really is
a Jaguar God such as the Mayans had. Wouldn't that be interesting?
POSTSCRIPT.
Speaking of Mayans.... and lunatic adolescent adults... what was Mel
Gibson drinking
thinking the other night? Could he possibly be so naive as to believe
that Mayan descendants aren't as post-modern as other descendants of
primitive cultures? Sure, the Mayans were a bloody and bloodthirsty
gang of killers. So were their south-of-the-border colleagues the Incas
and Aztecs. And their north-of-the-border cousins the (newly) sainted
American Indians. And every other empire in history ruled by a
royal bloodline and vassal "nobles" or priests. You're just not allowed
to say it anymore. It hurts their precious feelings. And when one of their
politically correct victimologists stands up to denounce you for
mentioning it, you have no right whatsoever to tell her to "F*** off!"
Sheesh. How dumb can you get in this day and age? Go to jail, Mel. Go
directly to jail. Do not pass Go and do not collect $200. Your whole
image makeover has to start again at square one. Maybe if you announced you were going
into rehab...?
POSTSCRIPT 2.
Izzie is pissed.

Nobody with half a brain wants that. But who can speak for Boortz?
Well, who cares?
UPDATE 3/27/07.
A couple of great laughs from Boortz today. Suddenly, for some reason,
he's trying to take credit for his humane feelings about animals. Turns
out he
can't stand to watch big animals preying on little animals on the
new documentary Planet Earth.
The camera's too close to the action perhaps? Maybe if predation could
be accomplished more remotely -- by poison or off-road tires -- he'd feel different. What a
self-important, superficial bozo.
EXTRA CREDIT
for InstaPunk readers who can spot the howler at the end of this
typically learned Boortzian paragraph about reparations:
Don't think so, Neal.