Archive Listing November 12, 2008 - November 5, 2008
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.
I mean that in a good way. They remind me of the mythic team a hapless
Senators fan sold his soul to the devil to beat, only to discover that all the Yankees had already signed
the same contract. Those damned Yankees played with grim, unflagging
brilliance. Their eyes glowed with Mephistophelian menace. They never
made mortal mistakes.
That's how the Rockies
strike me. I watched them bludgeon the Phillies and the Diamondbacks. I
still don't know most of their names. They seem lacking in
idiosyncracies, as if they are generic but archetypal ballplayers,
timeless and determinedly anonymous. I know that this is mostly a
function of the fact that they're not from New York or Boston, where
the word 'player' has a social meaning as important as its sport
meaning, but I find myself liking their facelessness. They have
appeared, apparently from nowhere, to win relentlessly with unstoppable
bats, an unhittable bullpen, and the best fielding ever displayed by a
major league team. I don't want to know their names. They seem like a
kind of inevitable poetic justice sent from who knows where to punish
the star-crazed culture of 21st century sports.
I'm pretty sure Mephistopheles doesn't have anything to do with their
juggernaut march to the World Series. Pretty
sure. But if he does, only God can save the Red Sox or the Indians from
a humiliatng sweep. I mean, what if the Rockies whose names and faces
we somehow can't quite remember are actually possessed by the spirits
of baseball greats from the days when the game was played for love and
glory instead of money? Who could stop such a phantom roster from
teaching a very necessary lesson? Who would want to stop them?
Not me.
Go, Rockies.
P.S. You
wanted more sports, Alpha. Will this do? Or must I also publish my
dream schedule for the persecuted Temple Owls? Also, because I haven't
seen anyone else do the right thing on this point, I want to wish Randi
Rhodes of Air America a speedy and complete recovery. Apparently she fell
while walking her dog and is in a great deal of pain. Get well soon.

. One thing that's really missing from our national
political dialogue is serious contemplation of the future. That's
because both major parties are locked into their own discrete time
zones. The Democrats occupy a fantasy time past that could be called
"What shouldn't have been allowed to happen," in which they rail about
irrevocable decisions they would have made differently, thus preventing
the unacceptable present. The Republicans confine themselves to the
crisis-driven time present of "What can't be allowed to happen," in
which their view of the future is blocked by one or two possible
outcomes so terrible they believe everyone must dread them as
fearfully as they do. The mainstream media straddle these two zones,
creating an unreal superposition of past and present which projects the
impossible proposition that the only way forward is to somehow repeal
the recent past and initiate a do-over. Life as a video game with a
reset option.
But there is no reset option. Regardless of our preferences, the future
will unfold before us, good and bad, and it is not entirely unknowable.
The propensities of key players are far from mysterious. All we have to
do is recognize those propensities and consider how they will probably
play out. Here's an example of that process.
1. Bush has won his last major battle in office. The war will continue
and the Democrats will shift their focus to electoral victory in 2008
rather than American defeat in Iraq. In all other respects, the
administration is too paralyzed and impotent to undertake serious
action against Iran or the terrorist regimes in Syria and the
Palestinian territories.
2. The Democrats will nominate Hillary Clinton. She's the supreme
symbol of the fantasy past they long for -- that very brief moment in
history after the Cold War and before 9/11, when America could hold the
world at bay with vaguely worded treaties and concern itself with
domestic prosperity and feel-good social policy gestures. Further, they
have fierce, irrational faith in her ability to punish Republicans for
the brutal termination of what they simply cannot see as a mere
intermission in the incredibly costly and nasty interactions between
America and the rest of the world.
3. The Republicans will nominate Rudy Giuliani because they simply must have a warrior candidate --
first, to have any kind of chance against the incredibly unscrupulous
and dirty campaign Hillary will run against any Republican, and second,
to stop the unthinkable from happening if he should somehow be elected
president. Romney doesn't have the cold-blooded aggression to pull the
trigger on enemies foreign or domestic. Thompson is just too
comfortable to rouse himself for any kind of fight. So Giuliani will
get the nod, the religious right will remain true to their own rigid
fantasy of turning back the clock, and they will stay home on election
day.
4. Hillary will win the presidency. She will campaign on a platform of
domestic giveaway programs, international negotiation to restore
American popularity in the world, and doing all the right and necessary
things to head off the catastrophe of global warming. Giuliani will try
to make voters care about the need to defeat Islamic fascism, and he
will promise to give away money too, though less than Hillary. But the
voters are tired of Islamic fascism and wish it would just go away.
They also think it's better to get more stuff for free rather than less
stuff. And since Hillary won't be able to give them the maximum stuff
without a veto-proof Congress, they will give her that, too. It's time
for a change.
5. Hillary will give a great inauguration speech that will remind
everyone of FDR's New Deal. During her honeymoon period she will
finally pass legislation taxing the evil rich enough and use the money
to pay for a new national health care program. Congress will take the lead in repealing the Patriot Act and passing new laws extending constitutional protections to illegal immigrants and foreign nationals. The Guantanamo facility will be shut down, its prisoners set free or remanded to civilian courts for due process. As Commander-in-Chief, Clinton will take a
wait-and-see approach in Iraq, while senior officers resign in droves
from the U.S. military, and re-enlistments plummet in every branch of
service. Troop drawdowns will therefore become absolutely necessary,
regardless of the military situation in Iraq, and the Clinton
administration will respond by launching ambitious negotiations with
Iran, Saudi Arabia and Syria to obtain a pan-Arabian treaty securing
stability in Iraq. As one of the necessary terms of the treaty, the
administration will coerce the exhausted Israelis into accepting the
final steps of partitioning Jerusalem, granting the "right-of-return"
to exiled Palestinians, and recognizing Hamas as the rightful
government of the Palestinian state.
6. When the troops begin to come home from Iraq, sectarian violence will
increase dramatically as Syrian and Iranian reinforcements rearm al
Qaeda and insurgent militias. The military will be embarrassed by
humiliating and bloody tactical blunders, as well as emerging scandals
of corruption, malfeasance, and civilian atrocities. Military morale
will reach an all-time low. Congress will launch investigations of
senior military officers. Assad and Ahdumjihad will deny involvement in
the renewed Iraqi violence, although they will eventually be compelled
to send in peacekeeping troops to "support" the failing Iraqi
government. All-out civil war will ensue.
7. Belatedly, the European nations will express concern about the
dramatic increase in Iran's nuclear program, and they will put up a
fairly united front in objecting to Vladimir Putin's overt technical
and military aid to Iran. The Cinton administration will conduct
multi-lateral negotiations with Putin to obtain a treaty securing their
cooperation in stabilizing the middle east, part of which will involve
decommitting the U.S. to missile defense. At some point, while all this
negotiating is going on, the Musharaff government will be overthrown,
and Pakistan will fall into civil war. The administration will ask the
U.N. for assistance in ending the violence, resulting in endless talks,
and U.S. troops will be transferred from Iraq to Afghanistan in a show
of force designed to deter extremists from exporting or otherwise
exploiting Pakistan's unprotected nuclear arsenal.
8. In the dwindling period before Palestinians begin returning to
Israel, Ahdumjihad will launch a surprise nuclear strike on Israel
which will be only partially successful. Over a million Israelis will
die outright, and another million will be poisoned or sickened with
radiation. The partially successful Israeli counterattack will likewise
kill a million Iranians and stop the flow of Iranian oil to the west.
The Clinton administration will threaten the use of American military
power to prevent Syria from invading crippled Israel. American aid will
flow to Israel and Iran, and elsewhere in the world, nations will send
aid to Iran. The U.N. will meet to condemn the actions of both Israel
and Iran in using nuclear weapons.
9. Vladimir Putin will dramatically raise the price of Russian oil
while the middle east writhes in chaos and Islamists worldwide launch
terrorist attacks on targets of opportunity, including Iraqi and Saudi
oilfields. This will catalyze a worldwide recession that causes
governments to fall in Europe in favor of political coalitions seeking
to placate Russia by breaking their alliances with the U.S. The sudden
economic downturn in China will also convince that government to secure
its own oil supply by forming an overt alliance with Putin's Russia and
providing military "aid," including troops, to Pakistan and Iran.
10. To protect Americans and prevent a wider war, the Clinton
administration will recall the U.S. Navy to guard the American coasts.
As rumors of missing and stolen nukes proliferate, President Clinton
will also declare a policy of immediate nuclear retaliation against the
country of origin in the event of any terrorist nuclear attack on the
U.S. The planned emergency evacuation of surviving Israelis will,
regrettably but unavoidably, be cancelled. American academics will be
jubilant about the sudden end of "the American empire." The New York
Times, the Washington Post, Time, Newsweek, and all the television news
networks will produce multi-part series explaining why and how all
these events are George W. Bush's fault. After many congressional
investigations and a televised criminal trial, he will be sentenced to
a federal SuperMax prison for life. Dan Rather will pull his comfy old
sweater out of mothballs and return to the anchor chair at CBS News. At
the end of his first newscast, he will utter his old valedictory,
"Courage."
How do you like the future so far? No wonder none of our leaders wants
to talk about anything but the past and the present.


